Charlie don't sleep on Georgia! I got to cover the 2018 House midterms, and the themes for that election (suburban flight from GOP, deeper party polarization in suburban/urban vs. rural/exurban, gender gap between the two parties) are now, likely, to come into fuller view. But the race between Republican Sen. David Perdue and Dem Jon Ossoff is going to be really close. Obama, Biden, Harris... and Trump. Republican Sens. Or... it could be won in January. Winning both Georgia elections would get them to an even split, giving Vice President-elect Kamala Harris a tiebreaking vote and Democrats unified control of the White House and Congress. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. There’s a weird, right-wing push to boycott January’s pivotal U.S. Senate runoffs. If Democrats can run up a big, big score here, that’s how Biden manages to pull off a victory in Georgia, a state that hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1992. Speaking of surprise swing states this year, there's Georgia. It will be updated following the primary on June 9, 2020. ATLANTA — The State of Georgia now has the eyes of the entire country on it as the power to declare a winner of the 2020 US Presidential Election and which party will have majority control in the Senate lies in the hands of the voters. Top two runoffs were necessitated when no candidate received 50% in the November 3, 2020 general election. So I think the current margin there is going to shrink, Getting at the “red mirage” idea, if we don’t get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania it’s easy to see Trump’s lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. It's big, expensive and complicated, so what if Dems stop challenging it and focus on other SEC-type states? One thing I've thought about today in Georgia: Hillary Clinton lost the state by about 230,000 votes in 2016. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Two counties where we might be able to see that these trends converge are: Gwinnett County in Georgia and Wilson County, NC. Pollster and strategist Frank Luntz on the tight Senate races in Georgia. Below is a chart over time of our model’s best estimate of each major party’s share of the vote in Georgia’s Senate race (ignoring votes cast for third parties) . So the majority could be won tonight. And the stakes are so high: Two Senate races, a state House that could flip, several competitive House races. If I may interject in this Florida talk real quick. 4,952,440. Georgia voters will determine which party controls the U.S. Senate in two January runoff elections. We're not likely to get a call out of Georgia. But he'd need a pretty strong W from Biden to do that. A second U.S. Senate race in Georgia will go to a January runoff, setting up a showdown for the Senate majority, according to NBC News. Trump’s Enablers Are Sabotaging the Georgia Senate Runoff Election–and Helping Democrats . Polling averages suggested a close race between Perdue and Ossoff. He can lose Georgia, but then he needs to win EVERYTHING ELSE if he also lost Pennsylvania. POLITICO's coverage of 2020 races for President, Senate, House, Governors and Key Ballot Measures. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Profiles are also included for candidates who have not completed a survey but lead in polling, fundraising, or noteworthy endorsements or have been identified by local media sources as being noteworthy. Republicans go into the night with a 53-47 majority. Perdue, the first-term senator and former business executive, faced Ossoff, a former journalist who lost a tight, high-profile U.S. House special election in 2017. Famous names had already been pouring money into the Georgia Senate contests well before Election Day. Donald Trump Jr. slammed attorney L. Lin Wood for asking Republican Georgia voters to withhold their votes during the upcoming runoff election, which will determine what party controls the Senate. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Georgia has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something big elsewhere. © 2020 CNBC LLC. Got a confidential news tip? Alex's sources are likely right, and it's going to be a long wait. Along with the runoff race between Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock, it will determine control of the Senate. Wilson County, a suburban/exurban county in eastern NC, voted for Clinton in 2016, but barely. If you can legally vote in Georgia, mark your calendar for Jan. 5, 2021. We want to hear from you. Teresa Tomlinson Withdrew, disqualified, or did not … That’s a point that they made. Residents of Georgia have until December 7 to register to vote in these contests. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. General election candidates The general election candidate list is incomplete. Yes, Charlie. By Jerusalem Demsas @JerusalemDemsas Nov 6, 2020, 3:40pm EST Share this story These polls are associated with the Georgia Senate runoff elections on January 5, 2021. Georgia is one of the more diverse states in the U.S. Georgia's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Both parties focused their attention and money on Georgia when it appeared two runoffs would determine Senate control. Neither of Georgia’s Republican senators drew a majority on Election Day, sending both of their races to special rematches in January that will likely determine control of the Senate… Author of POLITICO Massachusetts Playbook. But a GOP pollster told me that for Trump to win in Georgia, he'll have to win at least 58 percent of election day vote in order to catch up to the lead Dems built in early/absentee voting. Clifton Kilby(Independent) Withdrew, disqualified, or did not make ballot 1. A recent InsiderAdvantage poll showed that only half of Georgia voters believe the results of the November election were fair and accurate. Georgia Senate runoff spurs election probe of groups trying to register out-of-state voters 'Voting in Georgia when you're not a resident of Georgia is a felony,' secretary of state says Election results provided by the Associated Press. Temper your expectations on the timeline for when to expect to have definitive results in Georgia because of this: Charlie Yes! Thanks to a law in Georgia requiring candidates to achieve at least 50% of the vote, both Senate races in that state are headed to a runoff election on January 5, 2021. Nearly 800,000 new voters have registered since 2018. If Democrats can flip two of those three, they'll likely win back the majority six years after losing it. Now, it’s one of those quintessential 2020 examples of a place that’s booming, diversifying and turning away from Trump. This is breaking news. Ossoff. Call the Georgia Secretary of State voter hotline at 470-312-2635, or the nonpartisan Election Protection Hotline at 866-687-8683, if you have a … Maya Dillard Smith 4. The reach of “the evangelical vote in Georgia is very large and very strong,” Timothy Head, the group’s executive director, said in an interview. More than 940,000 mail-in ballots have been requested in Georgia for the Jan. 5 runoff election that will decide which party controls the Senate… Dems had expressed some confidence to me in Ossoff's path to 50% of the vote and avoiding a Jan runoff. Live 2020 Georgia election results and maps by country and district. Starting with Gwinnett, this northern Atlanta suburban county used to be solidly Republican territory. The state hasn't voted for a Dem presidential nominee since 1992. Georgia will host two runoffs on Jan. 5, the other being a special election between GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock to finish the remainder of retired Sen. Johnny Isakson's term. Georgia voters: Please vote! The special election there is almost certain to go to a runoff. In this special election, Republican incumbent Sen. Kelly Loeffler is … GOP strategist just made this point to me: If Florida goes red in 2020, while Georgia, NC, Texas are seen as more/just as competitive for Dems, it could totally change Florida's role in presidential politics. To your question, Charlie, is ‘everything’ too broad of an answer? David Perdue and Jon Ossoff, candidates for U.S. Senate in Georgia. Two races in that state, and one is almost certain to head to a January 5 runoff, while the other is going to be extremely close and could potentially also go to a runoff. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. No surprise, I'm watching the battle for Senate control. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. Reporting live from my couch, which is where I’ve been since … Super Tuesday. Marckeith DeJesus 3. For that reason, I’m keeping a close eye on the Sunbelt, especially Georgia and NC, for signs of what started in 2018 is now extending into 2020. Senate Dems were ecstatic that Biden, Harris and Obama visited the state in the closing stretch. Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. Meanwhile, Perdue has tried to paint Ossoff as pursuing a "radical socialist agenda.". Georgia has the rare opportunity to vote on two Senate races in 2020. Hey, all! The 2020 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, following Senator Johnny Isakson's resignation effective December 31, 2019. Ok, fine, I’ll specify slightly more. The U.S. Senate race between Republican Senator David Perdue and Democrat Jon Ossoff in Georgia appeared to be heading for a January runoff on Thursday, potentially making a … Helllo from DC! Democrats will already control the House and White House. Perdue won his 2014 Senate race by a margin of about 8 percentage points. (R)David Perdue is the betting favorite over Jon Ossoff in the Georgia Senate runoff election. And if Republicans are having a really strong night, Michigan is their next best opportunity. Perdue. Faith & Freedom made Georgia one of its top three spending targets in a $50 million get-out-the-vote program during the general election and plans increased organizing for the runoffs. The possibilities are a little dizzying. 1. The twin runoff election will take place on Jan. 5 Republicans battling for the decisive Georgia Senate runoffs have encountered an unexpected enemy in recent days: their own base. Jon Ossoff 7. Georgia Senate Election Results 2020. The likeliest flips for Democrats are Colorado and Arizona, followed by tight races in Maine, North Carolina and Iowa. But it's also hugely important for the Senate races. Popular vote in Georgia over time. In a Monday tweet, Trump Jr. told GOP voters to “IGNORE” people calling for a boycott on voting for Georgia Republican Sens. (PA, GA, MI)". The Georgia runoff election is scheduled for January 5, with early voting beginning on December 14. Republicans have won 50 Senate seats so far, according to NBC. Ballotpedia staff compiled these profiles from candidates' campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements. 99% of expected vote in. Georgia has not elected a Democratic senator since 1996, but a growing young and non-White electorate has helped shift the state into battleground status. One note about the travel to Georgia: obviously it's being done in an effort to flip the state for Biden. Now that California is in Biden's column, he's at 209 electoral votes, to Trump's 119. Georgia will host two runoffs on Jan. 5, the other being a special election between GOP Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock to finish the remainder of retired Sen. Johnny Isakson's term. Democrats have flipped one net seat for a total of 48. Elbert Bartell Democratic primary candidates 1. Give him Hawaii, Biden needs to find 58 electoral votes somewhere — some combination of Minnesota (10), Arizona (11), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Pennsylvania (20), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), Maine (3), ME-02 (1), NE-02 (1), Georgia (16). One thing to keep in mind about Georgia is that it looks like there are still a lot of votes to come from the big suburbs around Atlanta. Runoff. Governor Brian Kemp appointed Kelly Loeffler to serve as Isakson's replacement, effective January 6, 2020, until the special election. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/georgia-swing-states-428528, Trump aims to squeeze more votes out of rural Georgia. I went to high school in Atlanta and it's been fascinating to watch the massive demographic shifts that have been happening there, from people of color moving to the suburbs to the fast-growing immigrant population. This is a spot where if Republicans can dig up some new non-college educated white voters, they might show up here. But it also happened in Georgia’s regularly scheduled Senate election: Returns currently show Republican Sen. David Perdue at 49.7 percent of the vote and Democrat Jon Ossoff at … All Rights Reserved. The 2018 gubernatorial election was super duper close. In 2017, Ossoff set fundraising records in a special election … It's definitely a big lift. Republicans in Georgia are facing a perfect storm that puts the White House and its two GOP-held Senate seats at risk. Ossoff has criticized Perdue for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, including federal investigations into his stock trading around the start of the U.S. Covid-19 crisis. Voter enthusiasm has been high there, setting records, and I'm curious to see if this is the year Georgia turns blue. I am watching Georgia tonight. Shane Hazel(L) 2. The runoffs will determine which party controls the Senate. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Racist lawmakers built Georgia’s election system — and it could affect the balance of the Senate. Republican Sen. David Perdue will not break the 50% threshold needed to win outright in this month's election and will again face Democrat Jon Ossoff next year. It's clearly a battleground. But one thing to keep a close eye on: Georgia. Happy Election Day! Among Republicans, this … Ossoff's campaign raised more than $32.3 million while Perdue's campaign collected about $21.1 million, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. That could be enough to put Biden over the top, depending on which way they lean. Tricia Carpenter McCracken 6. Estimated remaining 46,126. This section includes profiles of candidates who have completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. That's why I wrote about it not too long ago: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/georgia-swing-states-428528, “I think all of these skeptics that there may have been scattered in rural Georgia are now united behind Trump,” said one GOP state…. Let's assume Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas are going to Trump. The race drew national attention and extensive funding as Democrats hoped to flip the Senate in 2020. A Division of NBCUniversal. Same for GA senate races Charlie, I don’t know Georgia as well as Florida, but considering how whites performed in Florida, it’s difficult to see how they don’t do the same in Georgia, For example, Holly, one example from Jen O’Malley Dillon, Biden’s campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. If Republicans can flip this county, that’s a very good sign that they’ll be able to hold on to NC. (Remember Super Tuesday?) Georgia Senate Special Election - Open Primary Key 2020 Races: President | Senate | GA-6 | GA-7 RCP Senate Map | Senate Polls | RCP House Map | … Check back for updates. James Knox 5. Sarah Riggs Amico 2. Republican strategist Karl Rove said Wednesday that the Georgia Senate runoff election is “the last line of defense for conservative values” as a Republican defeat would give Democrats control of the Senate and deliver their political agenda. Polls close at 7 p.m. in Georgia, but polls in some counties are staying open until as late as 9 p.m. because of issues earlier in the day. In Georgia's other Senate race, Perdue is seeking a second term as senator against Ossoff, a former media executive. There are a huge number of potentially competitive races. Following his election defeat to Joe Biden, Donald Trump has repeatedly accused election officials of presiding over systemic fraud in Georgia, a state he … Additional candidate profiles may be added up u… Darrell McGuire(Write-in) 2. Charlie, Look no further than who's shown up there in the last week! The likeliest flip for Republicans is Alabama. I still have a hard time believing the Democratic nominee has a shot of picking up its 16 electoral votes, but there's plenty of evidence to suggest that it's in play. Georgia voted Republican in eight of the last nine presidential elections, but Democrats won at least 45% in the last three cycles. “If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoral votes.”. The Trump campaign recognized that – sending VP Mike Pence here last week to rally support. The second Georgia Senate race between GOP Sen. David Perdue and Democrat Jon Ossoff will go to a runoff. Mail ballot processing starts weeks before Election Day. There are also races in Montana, South Carolina, Kansas, Alaska and Texas that could flip if Democrats are having a REALLY good night. advance. In any case, Georgia will be a heavy lift for Dems, even if the Atlanta suburbs are bolting the GOP.